use Divided // (Scott Johnson).
RealClearPolitics president Tom Bevan is a keen observer of American politics. He posted a thread about the midterm elections on Twitter. There is much to digest here. It is available for anyone who is interested at the bottom.
Tom observes with tact that Republicans “will only gain a handful of House Seats . He leaves open the question of whether Republicans will win a majority and be able to slow down the harmful effects of Biden administration policies upon the well-being the United States. Steven Shepard, Politico’s Steven Shepard, observes that 10 seats are still uncertain and that both parties have a chance. Shepard’s story says that “Control of the House remains at knife’s edge.” Here’s how it could destroy .”
We visited blue wave city over the weekend with the 10 House races that were recently called. Shepard explains that the battle for House seats will be decided on 10 seats that are “in question[. Shepard found “six seats with Republicans leading and four where Democrats are ahead — both sides still have a chance, even though the GOP is still preferred.”
Despite the fact that three of those races were held in states that were very close to 2020 (GA, Arizona, and NV), and despite Biden’s low approval rating in all of them,
— Tom Bevan (@TomBevanRCP November 13, 2022
Another factor was Biden’s disapproval #s were soft. WI was the only battleground state in which the GOP …. received support from the approximately 10% of voters who disapproved of Biden. pic.twitter.com/7Khoslq9eC
— Tom Bevan (@TomBevanRCP November 13, 2022
One final nugget: Dems voted 3 points more along partisan lines than the GOP in battleground Senate races. Made a difference in GA, AZ, and NV….. pic.twitter.com/lrKIPyK4BU
— Tom Bevan (@TomBevanRCP November 13, 2022
All of this clearly shows that the quality of some GOP candidates is a factor in some Senate races. However, this doesn’t explain the GOP’s poor performance in the House. /end
— Tom Bevan (@TomBevanRCP November 13, 2022